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Red60
401516.9
365525.0
775716.9
Blue83
28815.4
130530.6
447626.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60753040507080901001106083

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.2
24.424.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End9.2
blue by 5.6
30.60.7
30.529.8
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End9.8
Second
4015
#19
16.90.2
15.415.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.7
blue by 9.8
26.70.5
27.026.5
Auto5.7
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Third
7757
#16
16.90.3
16.717.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 1.5
288
#11
15.40.5
13.913.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned78%HAB Docking oddsEarned