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Red27
493811.0
21614.2
648111.5
Blue36
79029.9
633111.8
654411.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40351020305060702736

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#7
14.20.7
14.814.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End3.1
red by 2.4
6331
#12
11.80.1
10.410.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Second
6481
#25
11.51.1
11.610.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 0.2
6544
#26
11.60.1
12.712.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Third
4938
#22
11.01.1
11.510.4
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
red by 1.1
7902
#24
9.90.0
10.410.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed