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Red48
633111.8
132525.6
79029.9
Blue82
21614.2
775716.9
490323.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49562030406070804882

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.1
25.525.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End3.7
red by 1.9
23.70.6
21.520.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Second
6331
#12
11.80.1
11.311.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 5.1
7757
#16
16.90.6
17.116.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Third
7902
#24
9.90.1
9.79.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 4.3
216
#7
14.20.4
14.013.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed