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Red64
365525.0
493217.8
766413.5
Blue57
263418.9
401516.9
277117.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57543040506070806457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.5
24.625.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End9.2
red by 6.1
18.90.3
17.718.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Second
17.80.6
16.617.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
red by 0.5
2771
#20
17.30.3
17.517.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Third
7664
#13
13.50.6
12.613.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 3.4
4015
#19
16.90.2
15.615.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed