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Red28
447626.7
35719.7
654411.6
Blue45
28815.4
775716.9
633111.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53442030406070802845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.71.5
26.525.1
Auto5.7
Teleop18.2
End2.8
red by 9.8
7757
#16
16.90.1
16.516.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Second
6544
#26
11.61.8
12.310.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 3.7
288
#11
15.40.0
13.413.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End3.5
Third
3571
#23
9.71.5
11.09.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End0.8
blue by 2.1
6331
#12
11.80.1
11.411.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed