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Red59
648111.5
132525.6
633617.2
Blue51
646116.5
468816.6
775716.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48402060805951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.5
19.019.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End3.7
red by 8.7
7757
#16
16.91.1
10.411.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Second
17.20.5
13.914.4
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End4.7
red by 0.7
4688
#14
16.61.1
16.417.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Third
6481
#25
11.50.5
12.613.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 5.0
6461
#17
16.51.1
10.912.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned