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Red36
490323.7
493811.0
79029.9
Blue49
21614.2
78111.9
447626.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425402060801003649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.8
15.714.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
blue by 3.0
26.70.1
23.723.5
Auto5.7
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Second
4938
#22
11.00.8
14.013.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 3.2
216
#7
14.20.1
14.414.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Third
7902
#24
9.90.5
10.29.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
blue by 2.0
781
#21
11.90.2
12.912.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed