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Red72
130528.4
772217.5
86523.3
Blue70
713619.4
548322.9
497626.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776440506070901001107270

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
#11
28.40.0
31.731.6
Auto4.3
Teleop16.0
End8.1
red by 2.1
4976
#12
26.30.6
24.725.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End9.8
Second
865
#18
23.30.0
22.522.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End4.6
red by 0.5
5483
#22
22.90.6
18.519.1
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Third
7722
#21
17.50.0
18.318.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 1.9
7136
#28
19.40.6
17.918.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned77%HAB Docking oddsEarned