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Red49
494629.8
293519.7
107519.3
Blue62
478318.3
90718.3
613523.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65603040507080901004962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.8
27.026.2
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End7.9
red by 6.5
6135
#17
23.30.4
21.922.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End4.6
Second
2935
#25
19.70.8
15.214.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End4.6
red by 1.4
907
#19
18.30.4
21.421.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Third
1075
#36
19.30.8
19.018.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.2
red by 1.1
18.30.4
13.113.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned41%HAB Docking oddsEarned