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Red77
107519.3
772217.5
503621.1
Blue78
124131.0
493223.4
702221.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627720401007778

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5036
#31
21.10.6
20.521.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 9.9
31.00.0
30.430.4
Auto4.6
Teleop22.1
End4.3
Second
1075
#36
19.30.6
19.420.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.2
blue by 4.1
23.40.0
21.721.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End8.0
Third
7722
#21
17.50.6
19.219.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 4.5
7022
#10
21.90.0
20.320.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed45%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned84%HAB Docking oddsMissed