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Red50
373922.2
713619.4
452521.1
Blue82
293519.7
766420.9
548322.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65562040801005082

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#37
22.20.8
20.619.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End4.3
blue by 0.7
5483
#22
22.91.9
20.322.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
Second
4525
#24
21.10.8
22.521.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End7.2
red by 0.2
7664
#20
20.91.9
18.620.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End3.7
Third
7136
#28
19.40.8
18.217.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
blue by 0.4
2935
#25
19.71.9
14.316.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed