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Red69
752016.9
415226.8
124131.0
Blue70
90718.3
713619.4
131031.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767550607080901006970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.2
30.630.4
Auto4.6
Teleop22.1
End4.3
blue by 0.3
31.30.1
29.929.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End8.7
Second
4152
#26
26.80.2
26.726.5
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End5.8
red by 7.5
7136
#28
19.40.1
19.819.7
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Third
7520
#40
16.90.2
14.714.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
blue by 1.4
907
#19
18.30.1
21.221.2
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed88%HAB Docking oddsEarned