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Red74
77219.6
293519.7
478318.3
Blue57
85420.4
493918.9
503621.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57642040801007457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#25
19.70.9
16.317.2
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End4.6
blue by 1.4
5036
#31
21.10.2
21.921.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.6
Second
772
#23
19.60.9
21.422.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End6.3
blue by 0.8
854
#30
20.40.2
20.920.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.4
Third
18.30.9
16.517.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End3.8
blue by 0.7
4939
#27
18.90.2
17.717.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsMissed