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Red63
415226.8
451919.1
548322.9
Blue74
77118.4
497626.3
494629.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747240506080901001106374

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#26
26.80.5
26.526.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End5.8
blue by 3.0
29.80.4
26.126.5
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
5483
#22
22.90.5
24.023.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
blue by 3.4
4976
#12
26.30.4
25.826.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End9.8
Third
4519
#38
19.10.5
19.419.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End3.7
red by 0.7
771
#34
18.40.4
16.216.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsMissed91%HAB Docking oddsEarned