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Red64
583424.1
299421.7
713619.4
Blue68
755824.0
752016.9
772217.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70622040801006468

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5834
#16
24.10.2
23.723.5
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End8.7
red by 0.1
7558
#13
24.00.6
25.125.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End8.0
Second
2994
#33
21.70.2
23.223.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End6.3
red by 4.3
7722
#21
17.50.6
18.919.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Third
7136
#28
19.40.2
19.719.6
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
red by 2.5
7520
#40
16.90.6
14.515.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsEarned