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Red70
548322.9
447626.8
493918.9
Blue65
451919.1
567217.4
637821.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736140801001207065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.1
27.827.7
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End4.5
red by 5.5
6378
#39
21.20.5
22.122.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Second
5483
#22
22.90.1
23.623.4
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 3.8
4519
#38
19.10.5
19.019.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End3.7
Third
4939
#27
18.90.1
17.517.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.5
red by 1.5
5672
#32
17.40.5
17.217.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed