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Red70
132535.9
219814.7
613523.3
Blue71
131031.3
772217.5
77118.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767040601001207071

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.1
33.433.3
Auto5.5
Teleop25.1
End5.3
red by 4.7
31.30.3
29.830.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End8.7
Second
6135
#17
23.30.1
23.823.7
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End4.6
red by 4.9
771
#34
18.40.3
16.616.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Third
2198
#35
14.70.1
14.914.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 2.8
7722
#21
17.50.3
19.519.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
25%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
50%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned