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Red53
238625.6
633620.1
780015.7
Blue51
128523.1
74618.1
499218.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666545505560707580855351

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.8
27.726.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.2
red by 2.5
1285
#38
23.10.7
24.123.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End6.5
Second
6336
#20
20.10.8
21.821.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End6.5
red by 1.9
746
#29
18.10.7
17.616.9
Auto4.9
Teleop4.3
End9.0
Third
7800
#37
15.70.8
12.611.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.2
blue by 2.4
4992
#24
18.10.7
20.019.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned