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Red73
263422.5
687818.2
614017.6
Blue95
491729.0
434320.5
571921.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080907395

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2634
#23
22.50.5
22.422.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.0
blue by 6.6
29.01.3
23.324.6
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End6.7
Second
6878
#32
18.20.5
21.822.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.3
blue by 2.9
5719
#26
21.11.3
19.620.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End4.8
Third
6140
#25
17.60.5
18.919.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 3.0
4343
#27
20.51.3
19.520.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned54%HAB Docking oddsEarned