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Red69
467826.3
614017.6
220031.0
Blue56
633620.1
403925.6
687818.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8372405060901001106956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.7
33.032.3
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End7.5
red by 5.4
4039
#17
25.61.2
25.724.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Second
4678
#10
26.30.7
27.827.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.3
End8.0
red by 6.2
6336
#20
20.11.2
21.420.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End6.5
Third
6140
#25
17.60.7
18.217.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 0.6
6878
#32
18.21.2
21.119.9
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
32%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned82%HAB Docking oddsMissed