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Red78
136024.9
540917.9
571921.1
Blue62
491421.0
780015.7
461814.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6650203040607080907862

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#15
24.90.9
24.425.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End4.8
red by 3.9
4914
#28
21.00.8
20.521.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Second
5719
#26
21.10.9
20.821.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End4.8
red by 5.4
7800
#37
15.70.8
13.113.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Third
5409
#35
17.90.9
17.017.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End5.7
red by 2.9
4618
#22
14.90.8
13.714.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned53%HAB Docking oddsMissed