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Red39
107511.2
270216.1
571916.6
Blue57
132528.1
493914.1
270615.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61720501001502002503957

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.61.7
20.819.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 11.5
28.10.9
34.033.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Second
16.11.7
21.820.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.7
red by 1.0
15.10.9
18.617.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Third
1075
#16
11.21.7
15.413.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.5
End6.8
blue by 2.9
4939
#18
14.10.9
15.314.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed36%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
92%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed