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Red75
999412.5
124119.4
131027.0
Blue39
752010.8
999510.6
137413.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684402060801001201401607539

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.9
28.327.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End9.1
red by 13.6
1374
#19
13.30.8
14.914.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End4.9
Second
1241
#14
19.40.9
22.521.7
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 8.6
10.80.8
13.813.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
9994
#17
12.50.9
13.312.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End2.5
red by 1.9
9995
#12
10.61.3
12.511.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsEarned