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Red63
285216.8
368327.7
607013.5
Blue64
270615.1
686720.6
124119.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7169204060801001206364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.3
29.529.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End4.1
red by 7.0
20.60.3
22.922.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.0
Second
2852
#10
16.80.3
20.620.3
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End5.6
blue by 2.6
1241
#14
19.40.3
23.222.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Third
6070
#13
13.50.3
16.716.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End1.2
blue by 1.7
15.10.3
19.319.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
16%Rocket oddsMissed16%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed