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Red54
999412.5
752010.8
571916.6
Blue48
99964.5
107511.2
132528.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516201001502002505448

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.60.2
20.520.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 11.5
28.11.1
35.534.3
Auto4.7
Teleop21.1
End2.3
Second
9994
#17
12.50.2
14.414.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End2.5
red by 1.2
1075
#16
11.21.1
17.916.8
Auto3.9
Teleop0.5
End6.8
Third
10.80.2
13.713.8
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 6.3
9996
#20
4.51.6
5.74.0
Auto1.2
Teleop3.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed24%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsMissed