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Red75
220029.5
238628.5
750918.7
Blue47
685415.7
632318.2
592114.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81522040601007547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
29.629.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.2
End7.7
red by 11.2
6323
#10
18.20.1
18.518.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End3.1
Second
28.50.2
28.628.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End9.5
red by 12.8
6854
#25
15.70.1
15.915.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Third
7509
#27
18.70.2
18.818.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
red by 4.5
5921
#17
14.20.1
14.514.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.7