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Red78
220029.5
238628.5
750918.7
Blue41
685415.7
632318.2
592114.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81512040601007841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.0
29.329.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.2
End7.7
red by 11.2
6323
#10
18.20.2
18.418.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End3.1
Second
28.50.0
28.428.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End9.5
red by 12.8
6854
#25
15.70.2
15.815.7
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Third
7509
#27
18.70.0
18.618.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
red by 4.5
5921
#17
14.20.2
14.414.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.7