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Red59
503213.6
614019.9
490722.9
Blue82
632318.2
205647.0
756412.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576640507080905982

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
20.921.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End9.5
blue by 24.1
47.01.3
40.942.2
Auto5.5
Teleop30.7
End10.7
Second
6140
#31
19.90.1
19.119.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.0
End3.5
red by 1.7
6323
#10
18.21.3
13.414.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End3.1
Third
5032
#15
13.60.1
14.314.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.6
red by 1.3
7564
#26
12.31.3
8.79.9
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed36%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
77%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsEarned