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Red38
653712.3
634213.5
762315.7
Blue57
490215.9
592114.2
461814.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141404550553857

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7623
#11
15.70.1
14.714.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End3.3
blue by 0.2
4902
#23
15.91.3
10.611.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End1.7
Second
6342
#34
13.50.1
12.912.8
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 1.4
4618
#14
14.90.8
14.615.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Third
6537
#32
12.30.1
11.211.2
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
blue by 1.9
5921
#17
14.20.8
13.714.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed