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Red56
503213.6
63308.0
540636.0
Blue53
685415.7
461814.9
507618.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61492040805653

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
35.435.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.0
End10.3
red by 17.1
5076
#20
18.90.4
18.018.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Second
5032
#15
13.60.3
13.813.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 2.1
6854
#25
15.70.4
12.913.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.9
Third
6330
#33
8.00.3
8.48.1
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End3.4
blue by 6.9
4618
#14
14.90.4
15.816.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed