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Red49
490215.9
220029.5
634213.5
Blue51
124131.6
687820.6
697812.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59663040507080901004951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.5
28.828.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.2
End7.7
blue by 2.2
31.60.8
30.029.2
Auto5.3
Teleop22.2
End4.2
Second
4902
#23
15.90.8
13.412.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End1.7
blue by 4.7
6878
#13
20.60.8
18.117.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End4.7
Third
6342
#34
13.50.5
13.613.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
red by 1.4
6978
#22
12.10.8
14.313.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed23%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed