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Red49
499217.5
750918.7
107519.0
Blue55
745617.2
507618.9
503213.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60522040801004955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.5
20.820.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End8.6
red by 0.2
5076
#20
18.90.4
19.219.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Second
7509
#27
18.70.5
18.918.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
red by 1.5
7456
#24
17.20.4
17.017.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Third
17.50.5
17.316.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
red by 3.9
5032
#15
13.60.4
13.013.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed