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Red77
238628.5
632318.2
685415.7
Blue59
124131.6
490215.9
651314.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61613040507080907759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.9
26.927.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.4
End9.5
blue by 3.1
31.60.1
29.629.5
Auto5.3
Teleop22.2
End4.2
Second
6323
#10
18.20.9
16.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End3.1
red by 2.4
4902
#23
15.90.1
14.614.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End1.7
Third
6854
#25
15.70.9
14.715.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.9
red by 1.5
6513
#21
14.20.1
13.113.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed25%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed