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Red42
569917.4
633119.7
548318.5
Blue49
587016.3
582112.2
461713.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4839102030607080904249

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.2
15.615.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.0
End4.6
red by 3.5
5870
#28
16.30.6
12.513.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Second
5483
#29
18.50.2
16.616.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
red by 4.6
4617
#16
13.90.6
11.912.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End3.3
Third
5699
#32
17.40.2
12.912.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 5.1
5821
#38
12.20.6
12.913.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed