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Red49
136022.7
495118.2
502426.2
Blue48
772218.3
260918.8
375618.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67502030406080904948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.1
22.221.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
red by 7.5
2609
#35
18.80.0
17.617.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Second
1360
#20
22.71.1
20.919.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
red by 4.4
7722
#17
18.30.0
16.816.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.8
End4.3
Third
4951
#25
18.21.1
20.219.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End2.9
red by 0.1
3756
#31
18.10.0
13.213.2
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed