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Red36
633910.4
61627.9
637823.9
Blue63
605211.3
540822.2
705823.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060801003663

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6378
#15
23.90.0
18.618.6
Auto3.8
Teleop16.1
End4.1
red by 0.9
23.10.8
20.120.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End6.8
Second
6339
#40
10.40.0
10.810.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.8
blue by 11.8
22.20.8
18.919.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.6
End4.6
Third
6162
#39
7.90.0
6.76.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 3.4
6052
#27
11.30.8
12.513.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned