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Red78
611020.1
481426.0
452519.6
Blue28
685612.0
613015.1
747510.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50320204060807828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.9
18.920.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End3.5
red by 10.9
6130
#26
15.10.2
14.614.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Second
6110
#14
20.11.9
16.017.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.8
End2.9
red by 8.1
6856
#34
12.00.2
9.39.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End1.0
Third
19.61.9
12.114.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End6.6
red by 9.1
7475
#37
10.50.2
6.56.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed