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Red65
481426.0
528817.9
569917.4
Blue34
633910.4
688113.1
548318.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5840020801006534

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.5
23.423.9
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End3.5
red by 7.5
5483
#29
18.50.3
15.715.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Second
5288
#22
17.90.5
16.316.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.5
red by 4.9
6881
#13
13.10.3
12.812.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End2.7
Third
5699
#32
17.40.5
15.315.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.8
red by 7.0
6339
#40
10.40.4
9.59.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed