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Red71
502426.2
705823.1
559615.7
Blue62
765915.8
613015.1
136022.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6453204060801007162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
24.224.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.8
red by 3.5
1360
#20
22.70.8
20.821.6
Auto3.4
Teleop15.4
End3.9
Second
23.10.5
22.222.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End6.8
red by 7.3
7659
#30
15.80.8
15.516.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Third
5596
#23
15.70.5
14.715.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End4.4
red by 0.5
6130
#26
15.10.8
13.614.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed