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Red69
491721.2
698715.1
270620.8
Blue55
130531.7
478313.1
406923.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52682030406080901006955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#10
21.21.3
19.220.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End7.2
blue by 10.4
31.70.6
31.230.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
Second
2706
#13
20.81.3
17.218.6
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.5
blue by 2.6
23.40.6
21.420.8
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End8.8
Third
6987
#29
15.11.3
12.714.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End3.8
red by 2.0
4783
#23
13.10.6
12.011.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
55%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned