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Red46
470416.7
613521.9
686514.2
Blue39
65148.9
747618.2
567215.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504001020306070804639

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6135
#14
21.90.1
23.323.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.5
red by 3.6
7476
#27
18.20.1
16.016.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
4704
#19
16.70.1
12.512.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.0
red by 1.3
5672
#15
15.40.1
15.215.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
6865
#31
14.20.1
11.211.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End4.2
red by 5.4
6514
#32
8.90.1
6.86.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed