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Red36
496816.2
685918.3
686514.2
Blue65
478313.1
646118.3
491721.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4252102030607080903665

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6859
#11
18.30.2
12.011.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End5.5
blue by 2.9
4917
#10
21.20.2
18.217.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.6
End7.2
Second
4968
#16
16.20.2
15.415.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End3.3
blue by 2.2
18.30.2
16.516.3
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End6.3
Third
6865
#31
14.20.4
12.211.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End4.2
red by 1.1
4783
#23
13.10.3
14.814.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned