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Red52
705215.7
747618.2
131026.9
Blue46
470416.7
270620.8
137421.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51490204060801005246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.2
21.121.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End7.4
red by 5.4
1374
#26
21.50.3
18.318.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Second
7476
#27
18.20.2
14.914.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End3.0
blue by 2.5
2706
#13
20.80.2
18.117.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Third
7052
#21
15.70.3
12.712.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.2
blue by 1.0
4704
#19
16.70.2
10.310.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed