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Red75
613521.9
406923.4
646118.3
Blue60
451918.8
491422.5
747618.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675730405080901007560

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.7
22.323.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End8.8
red by 0.9
22.50.4
20.921.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.5
End5.2
Second
6135
#14
21.90.7
23.223.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.5
red by 3.1
4519
#28
18.80.4
17.517.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.9
Third
18.30.7
18.319.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End6.3
red by 0.1
7476
#27
18.20.4
16.016.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned24%HAB Docking oddsMissed