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Red50
65148.9
133414.5
299421.4
Blue63
478313.1
201318.2
470416.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44421020305060705063

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.6
19.019.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End7.3
red by 3.3
2013
#20
18.21.0
16.117.1
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End3.8
Second
1334
#25
14.50.6
15.616.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 2.2
4704
#19
16.71.0
12.513.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Third
6514
#32
8.90.6
6.97.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 4.2
4783
#23
13.11.0
11.012.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed