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Red76
131026.9
494627.0
685918.3
Blue49
646118.3
686413.0
747618.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6651204060801007649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.9
23.624.5
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End6.4
red by 8.7
18.30.1
19.019.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End6.3
Second
26.90.9
24.125.0
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End7.4
red by 8.6
7476
#27
18.20.1
16.416.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
6859
#11
18.30.9
14.815.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End5.5
red by 5.3
6864
#30
13.00.1
12.712.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed