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Red73
299421.4
686514.2
415224.8
Blue94
130531.7
633620.7
747618.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627140801001207394

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
24.80.9
25.626.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.5
End4.8
blue by 6.9
31.70.7
29.630.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End9.1
Second
21.40.9
20.221.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.6
End7.3
red by 0.8
6336
#18
20.70.7
19.820.5
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Third
6865
#31
14.21.2
13.314.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 4.0
7476
#27
18.20.7
17.818.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned