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Red46
133414.5
496816.2
646118.3
Blue36
613521.9
354310.9
705215.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575640455060654636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.30.5
20.520.0
Auto5.3
Teleop6.8
End6.3
blue by 3.5
6135
#14
21.91.1
23.322.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.3
End4.5
Second
4968
#16
16.20.5
17.516.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.1
End3.3
red by 0.5
7052
#21
15.71.4
15.614.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.2
Third
1334
#25
14.50.5
16.015.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 3.6
3543
#33
10.91.4
14.312.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed