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Red83
85421.8
528815.6
755821.8
Blue36
720014.0
614112.9
691715.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50411020306070808336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.4
17.318.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.3
red by 5.9
6917
#31
15.90.3
13.813.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Second
854
#8
21.81.4
18.820.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.8
End4.6
red by 7.8
7200
#34
14.00.2
14.514.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Third
15.62.3
10.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.5
red by 2.6
6141
#16
12.90.2
10.110.0
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed