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Red48
773519.6
477713.0
639713.7
Blue28
701311.6
491419.4
761414.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42361020305060704828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.5
14.815.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End4.4
red by 0.2
19.40.7
12.011.3
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
6397
#30
13.70.5
13.013.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 0.6
7614
#12
14.30.4
11.611.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
4777
#20
13.00.9
12.113.0
Auto2.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 1.5
7013
#25
11.60.4
10.710.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed